Large, abrupt, and persistent changes in the function and structure of ecosystems
Can regime shifts be interconnected?
How do people behave when facing regime shifts?
Juan C. Rocha is a research scientist at the Stockholm Resilience Centre where he co-leads the theme on complex systems. His research questions are oriented to understanding critical transitions: from regime shifts in ecological systems, to collective action in society. Currently he is focusing on the idea of cascading effects: how a critical transition in an ecosystem in the world can impact the likelihood of other ecosystems tipping over. Juan is interested in methods for identifying resilience surrogates -good observables that can tell you how resilient a system is- as well as misperception of feedbacks and their consequences. He finds inspiration in complex systems science, the use of mathematical models, networks and other computational methods to understand social and ecological complexity.
Juan supports the Earth Commission in their mission of defining a safe and just corridor for people and planet through a part time position at Future Earth. He is member of the Beijer Young Scholars, the Resilience Alliance Young Scholars, the Complex Systems Society, the Earth Resilience and Sustainability Initiative, and the South American Institute for Resilience and Sustainability Studies. He has also been visiting scientist at the Princeton Environmental Institute and the MIT Media Lab. Juan is involved in outreach science initiatives, such as the Regime Shifts Database, where he has been main contributor of scientific synthesis intended for policy makers and the general audience. He is also interested on developing data explorers that facilitate the communication of scientific knowledge to the non-scientific audience. Juan is an avid climber and runner.
PhD in Sustainability Science, 2015
MSc Ecosystems Governance, 2010
BSc in Ecology, 2006
Pontificia Universidad Javeriana
Occasional notes for my future self and interested readers. Older content comes from my PhD blog critical transitions.
Spatially explicit estimates of resilience loss globally
Abrupt changes in ecosystems can be connected to others in time and space
The Routledge Handbook of Research Methods for Social-Ecological Systems has been recently launched under an open access licence. The book collects contributions from 97 different authors, situated at SES research hubs in 16 countries around the world. Juan contributed 3 chapters on statistical methods, data mining, and dynamical systems. You can download the book in full or individual chapters below:
Most of my publications are open access. If a PDF link is not provided here please email me and will share it with you. You can find a complete searchable list under Publications
Recent & Upcoming talks