Large, abrupt, and persistent changes in the function and structure of ecosystems
Can regime shifts be interconnected?
How do people behave when facing regime shifts?
Juan C. Rocha is a research scientist at the Stockholm Resilience Centre where he co-leads the theme on complex systems. His research questions are oriented to understanding critical transitions: from regime shifts in ecological systems, to collective action in society. Currently he focus on the idea of cascading effects: how a critical transition in an ecosystem in the world can impact the likelihood of other ecosystems tipping over. Juan is interested in methods for identifying resilience surrogates –good observables that can tell you how resilient a system is– as well as misperception of feedbacks and their consequences. He finds inspiration in complex systems science, the use of mathematical models, networks and other computational methods to understand social and ecological complexity.
Since 2023 Juan is member of the Swedish Young Academy of Sciences, and guest researcher at the Alexander von Humboldt Institute in Colombia. He is member of the Beijer Young Scholars, the Resilience Alliance Young Scholars, the Complex Systems Society, the Earth Resilience and Sustainability Initiative, and the South American Institute for Resilience and Sustainability Studies. Juan is involved in outreach science initiatives, such as the Regime Shifts Database, where he has been main contributor of scientific synthesis intended for policy makers and the general audience. He is also interested on developing data explorers that facilitate the communication of scientific knowledge to the non-scientific audience. Juan is an avid climber and runner.
PhD in Sustainability Science, 2015
MSc Ecosystems Governance, 2010
BSc in Ecology, 2006
Pontificia Universidad Javeriana
Feel free to explore what I’m currently working on and reach out if you have ideas for collaboration
Understanding and managing Sweden’s exposure to water resilience risks in the Anthropocene
How the financial sector can be affected by domino effects in the climate and ecosystems
How does people behave when dealing with situations pervaded by thresholds? Imagine you’re a fisherman whose livelihoods depend on a …
Imagine a regime shift occurs. How do you think it effects the likelihood of other systems tipping over?
What are the main drivers and consequences of regime shifts globally?
Occasional notes for my future self and interested readers. Older content comes from my PhD blog critical transitions.
The Routledge Handbook of Research Methods for Social-Ecological Systems has been recently launched under an open access licence. The book collects contributions from 97 different authors, situated at SES research hubs in 16 countries around the world. Juan contributed 3 chapters on statistical methods, data mining, and dynamical systems. You can download the book in full or individual chapters below:
Recent & Upcoming talks